Discover how credibility theory helps actuaries use historical data to estimate risks and set insurance premiums; learn how ...

This course covers the ideas underlying statistical modelling in science through the lens of causal thinking. We cover the implementation of these ideas through Bayesian computational methods and ...

Pediatric clinical trials commonly experience recruitment challenges including limited number of patients and investigators, inclusion/exclusion criteria that further reduce the patient pool, and a ...

We review Bayesian approaches to model testing in general and to the assessment of topological hypotheses in particular. We show that the standard way of setting up Bayes factor tests of the monophyly ...

Machine Learning gets all the marketing hype, but are we overlooking Bayesian Networks? Here's a deeper look at why "Bayes Nets" are underrated - especially when it comes to addressing probability and ...

This article was published in Scientific American’s former blog network and reflects the views of the author, not necessarily those of Scientific American I’m not sure when I first heard of Bayes’ ...

In science, progress is possible. In fact, if one believes in Bayes' theorem, scientific progress is inevitable as predictions are made and as beliefs are tested and refined. ~ Nate Silver If the ...