Any uncertainty in the calculation of the object’s orbit causes variations in the predicted solution. Instead of one precise ...

Asteroid 2024 YR4, which once appeared to be on a collision course with Earth, may hit the moon, which could create some ...

A large asteroid once considered the greatest known risk to Earth may now be on track for a direct hit — not on our planet, ...

YR4, an asteroid that's the size of a building, was first discovered in December 2024. Astronomers initially predicted the asteroid would hit Earth on Dec. 23, 2032, and it would have enough power ...

Oct. 20, 2013 — -- Is the world ending in 2032? Not quite. Ukrainian scientists have discovered a massive asteroid named 2013 TV135 and have predicted that it will hit earth 19 years from now ...

The impact probability describes how likely a hazardous asteroid is to hit Earth. For example, if the impact probability is 1%, it means that in 1 of 100 cases, it hits Earth.

I was preparing for my early morning class back in January 2025 when I received a notice regarding an asteroid called 2024 YR4. It said the probability it could hit Earth was unusually high.

(The Conversation is an independent and nonprofit source of news, analysis and commentary from academic experts.) Toshi Hirabayashi, Georgia Institute of Technology (THE CONVERSATION) I was ...