Any uncertainty in the calculation of the object’s orbit causes variations in the predicted solution. Instead of one precise ...

Asteroid 2024 YR4, which once appeared to be on a collision course with Earth, may hit the moon, which could create some ...

A large asteroid once considered the greatest known risk to Earth may now be on track for a direct hit — not on our planet, ...

Officially known as 2025 OW, the asteroid is reportedly 220 feet big. According to NASA's schedule, it will pass Earth on ...

Astronomers initially predicted the asteroid would hit Earth on Dec. 23, 2032, and it would have enough power decimate an entire city. But astronomers now say that that science is telling them the ...

The impact probability describes how likely a hazardous asteroid is to hit Earth. For example, if the impact probability is 1%, it means that in 1 of 100 cases, it hits Earth.

I was preparing for my early morning class back in January 2025 when I received a notice regarding an asteroid called 2024 YR4. It said the probability it could hit Earth was unusually high.

But while the probability of hitting Earth went down, the probability of the asteroid hitting the Moon started increasing. It went up to 1.7% on Feb. 24. As of April 2, it is 3.8%.

(The Conversation is an independent and nonprofit source of news, analysis and commentary from academic experts.) Toshi Hirabayashi, Georgia Institute of Technology (THE CONVERSATION) I was ...