Simply put, it's impossible for Tesla to grow production by 50% per year if the cars aren't selling. Musk told investors he expects sales to rebound during 2025, with EV deliveries potentially growing by as much as 30%. However, the early signs are very troubling.

The average analyst target price is up about $30 in February, moving it to $380 a share, according to FactSet. That’s the highest target ever for Tesla stock.

After a brutal stretch this month that brought the stock's year-to-date decline to more than 30% at one point, Tesla's stock has rallied back above the 100-day moving average, Yahoo Finance data shows.

Tesla stock is gaining ground following a recent report suggesting that the company could be on track to receive a $400 million contract through the U.S. State Department. However, subsequent developments are casting doubt on whether the deal will actually go through. The stock is also getting a boost from bullish analyst coverage.